Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.204353 0.217403 0.231081 0.246525 0.263525 0.281722 0.302744
2025-04-13 0.172262 0.190895 0.211645 0.236654 0.266230 0.300417 0.343403
2025-04-20 0.156381 0.178721 0.204789 0.237885 0.279425 0.330746 0.400448
2025-04-27 0.146173 0.171214 0.201556 0.241784 0.294930 0.364611 0.466325
2025-05-04 0.136921 0.163521 0.196741 0.242374 0.305315 0.392216 0.527628
2025-05-11 0.128462 0.155849 0.190905 0.240505 0.311477 0.414014 0.583572
2025-05-18 0.121082 0.148858 0.185164 0.237863 0.315755 0.433001 0.637973
2025-05-25 0.113783 0.141388 0.178090 0.232498 0.315127 0.443949 0.680487
2025-06-01 0.108165 0.135772 0.173074 0.229502 0.317502 0.459581 0.733933
2025-06-08 0.103489 0.131125 0.169035 0.227489 0.320993 0.477211 0.794542
2025-06-15 0.100832 0.129085 0.168493 0.230573 0.332792 0.510498 0.894124
2025-06-22 0.096387 0.124268 0.163607 0.226507 0.332208 0.521290 0.948283
2025-06-29 0.091253 0.118331 0.156900 0.219335 0.326063 0.521678 0.981122
2025-07-06 0.086551 0.112847 0.150637 0.212535 0.320096 0.521957 1.014986
2025-07-13 0.084350 0.110893 0.149562 0.214057 0.329038 0.553085 1.136441
2025-07-20 0.082793 0.109793 0.149696 0.217543 0.341884 0.594414 1.301961
2025-07-27 0.080656 0.107718 0.148184 0.218093 0.349217 0.625156 1.450585
2025-08-03 0.078189 0.105030 0.145557 0.216504 0.352197 0.646582 1.579891
2025-08-10 0.075741 0.102268 0.142669 0.214241 0.353580 0.664500 1.706445
2025-08-17 0.072951 0.098876 0.138613 0.209635 0.349752 0.669172 1.787049
2025-08-24 0.070749 0.096312 0.135783 0.207058 0.349878 0.683815 1.915866
2025-08-31 0.068849 0.094146 0.133502 0.205326 0.351593 0.702868 2.075659
2025-09-07 0.067925 0.093461 0.133610 0.207980 0.362952 0.749830 2.398745